COVID-19 fatality rate

The COVID-19 fatality rate is very high compared to influenza. The broad expectation is that increased testing will show the actual rate (collectively 3.4% right now according to the WHO) is lower.Crucially, the fatality rate is highly age-dependent and adults,...

Northwest update

The Emerald City Comic Con is scheduled in Seattle at the Washington State Convention Center from March 12-15. Last year it drew 98,000 people. It is the height of irresponsibility that organizers are moving forward with this. Refunding ticket holders who ask is not...

Worldwide COVID-19 modeling

Australian National University has run seven scenarios on the likely worldwide outcomes of the SARS-CoV 2 viral pandemic. Best case scenario (low severity model): Global GDP loss of $2.4 trillion with an estimated 15 million dead. Worse case scenario (high severity...